risk MONITOR

Evolving Risks

  • Unrest in West Africa | Guinea-Bissau coup | President toppled by his own top military aide

    Guinea-Bissau President and senior military officers were arrested as part of a coup d’état, which occurred a day before the results of the general election held on 23 November, in which President Umaro Sissoco Embaló, was running for reelection, were expected to be officially announced. The president was toppled by his own top military aide,…

  •  17% or more of global oil tanker traffic are dark fleet vessels

    Hidden networks of vessels are undermining sanctions, seafarers’ rights and the environment while quietly reshaping geopolitics. Unlike ordinary ships, which keep their transponders on and are obliged to follow international safety and reporting standards, dark fleet ships switch off their Automatic Identification System (AIS), use false registration papers, disguise their ownership through complex corporate structures or physically…

  • China’s Cultural Takeover of Southeast Asia

    ‘Cultural pollution,’ the Vietnamese Politburo called Coca Cola and other American multinationals in the early 1990s. Capitalist dogs. Advertising crooks. But the rollout was not to be stopped. That was then. But in 2025, Southeast Asia is experiencing the quiet takeover by another cultural behemoth, China. This takeover was a long time coming. Myanmar has…

  • China withdrawing from Africa

    The number of Chinese workers in Africa hit a new low in 2022, marking a continued decline each year since peaking at nearly 264,000 workers in 2015. According to the China Africa Research Initiative at Johns Hopkins, Algeria and Angola have consistently hosted the highest number of Chinese workers in Africa, with each country hosting…

  • EU versus the Houthis

    The European Union joins international efforts to contain the Houthis in Yemen. The Council launched the ASPIDES operation to restore and safeguard freedom of navigation in the Red Sea and the Gulf. ASPIDES will be part of the European Union Naval Force. The operation will play a key role in safeguarding commercial and security interests, for the…

  • Google to spotlight AI’s role in Africa tech at African Union Heads of State and Government Session

    Ethiopia will host 24 presidents, two prime ministers, a king, five vice presidents, and two leaders represented by their foreign ministers. The African Union’s much anticipated 37th African Leaders Summit will be held at the African Union Headquarters in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. The list of attendees reads like a roll call of the continent’s most influential figures.…

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